Return rate or redistribution rate
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Different games often advertise a return rate that seems very high: 98% for example, or 75%, or 50%. Many people think this means you have a 50, 70 or 98% chance of winning. Not at all! A return rate of 86% means that, out of all the bets made by players, the company organizing the game deducts 14% for its own profit and therefore only redistributes 86% of the sum, divided between all the winners. In other words, in the long term, you're guaranteed to lose 14% of all your bets. Let's take the example of a game that advertises a 95% return rate. The stake is 1 euro and the duration is such that you can play 5 times a minute, i.e. 300 times an hour. The 95% return rate means that every time a player spends 1 euro, the organizing company takes 5% of this sum, or 5 cents. At the end of an hour, on average, given that there are 300 games per hour, players lose 5 centimes x 300 = 15 euros. It's mathematical. Of course, there are times when you win, sometimes even big sums. But if you play a lot, over the long term, and add up all your wins and losses, you're guaranteed to lose an average of 15 euros per hour played. |
This is known as negative earnings expectancy: lose money.
Gaming suppliers have more than one trick up their sleeves to attract players. For example, studies carried out in Quebec (Sévigny et al. 2005) on a large number of online gambling sites show that return rates in excess of 100% are not uncommon in the demo phase of games to convince players to continue.
updated on 4/28/24

